Tennessee Soccer Stats
Rankings25-2626-27All-TimeHead-to-HeadResearchAbout
Data Analytics Hub

Research & Reports

The central hub for everything I've dug into with the Tennessee Soccer Stats data — the geography of the state, the role money plays, what football tells us about soccer, and the team-level analytics underneath the rankings. Published pieces are live; pending ones are in the works.

Geography

01
Three Tennessees
Cross-regional head-to-head history of the grand divisions — East, Middle, and West — when they actually meet on the field.
Read report →
East TN's Inner Divide
Tracking Knoxville vs. Tri-Cities vs. Chattanooga metrics to find which corner of East Tennessee runs the region.
Read report →
Nashville & Its Suburbs
Weighting urban Davidson County against affluent Williamson County — money versus density in Middle Tennessee.
Read report →
West Tennessee
Measuring the massive ELO gap between Memphis and Jackson, and who carries the west.
Read report →

Socioeconomics

02
The Zip Code Effect
The core correlation between neighborhood wealth and ELO — the report that started the whole socioeconomic series.
Read report →
The Private School Question
D-II versus ELO, controlling for SEI and enrollment — isolating how much of the private-school edge is really just money.
In development
The Enrollment Effect
Testing whether the SEI signal holds up once you control for school size — do wealthy areas just build bigger schools?
In development
Graduation Rates
Does this positive-outcome proxy predict ELO better than SEI? A more human-readable measure than raw wealth.
In development
New Program Development
Ramp-up speed versus per-pupil spending for brand-new programs — how fast does money turn into a competitive team?
In development

Cross-Sport Findings

03
Football Runs Tennessee
Dynasties, history, and the public/private split — including the Brentwood Academy Supreme Court cases.
Read report →
The Modern Game
The 2015–2026 gridiron landscape: modern powers, state champions, regionality, and recruiting-driven talent.
Read report →
Does Money Buy Football?
Applying the affluence test to the gridiron — where the line is far flatter than it is in soccer.
Read report →
The Pipeline
Recruiting, college, and NFL production — the talent funnel from blue-chip recruit to Sunday.
Read report →
Does Football Predict Soccer?
The cross-sport analysis — money, size, private schools, and talent, run on both sports side by side.
Read report →

Results & Team Analytics

04
The Freshman Report
Does freshman retention tie to a program's success four years later? Using rosters scraped from 2013 on to track long-term ELO against keeping freshmen on varsity — and player poaching.
In development
The Experience Report
Tracking year-over-year coaching changes and senior class sizes to see whether those numbers form a reliable index for predicting a program's championship windows.
In development
Who is the Best Right Now?
Live ELO ratings, recent form, and strength of schedule combined to rank the top programs in the state today.
In development
The Great Rivalries
Isolating head-to-head records between traditional geographic rivals to see whether the on-field data matches the local hype.
In development
Biggest Upsets
Analyzing the largest ELO mismatches in the database to find the specific conditions that let heavy underdogs win.
In development
Published reports are live and update as new results come in. Pending reports are in active development — several are waiting on outside data (TDOE enrollment and graduation rates, roster history). Tennessee Soccer Stats is a personal, non-commercial project and isn't affiliated with the TSSAA or any school.